Pengembangan Model Jaringan Syaraf Tiruan untuk Memprediksi Jumlah Mahasiswa Baru di PTS Surabaya (Studi Kasus Universitas Wijaya Putra)

Authors

  • Alven Safik Ritonga Universitas Wijaya Putra
  • Suryo Atmojo Universitas Wijaya Putra

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.32815/jitika.v12i1.213

Keywords:

jaringan syaraf tiruan, prediksi, backpropagation, fungsi basis radial

Abstract

Artificial Neural Network and data time series can use for good forecasting method. Artificial Neural Network is a method whose working principle is adapted from mathematical models in humans or biological neural.Neural networks are characterized by; (1)pattern of connections between the neurons(called architecture), (2)determine the weight of the connection (called training or learning), and (3)activation function.The objective of this research is to get the best artificial neural network architecture, compare two method of Backpropagation Artificial Neural Network with Radial Basis Function Artificial Neural Network (RBF).This research is a research using actual data (true experimental). This research was conducted at Wijaya Putra University Surabaya, using secondary data obtained from 2012 to 2016.The result of the research shows that there is a difference between RBF ANN method and the method of Backpropagation ANN, obtained statistical index of RBF ANN, MAE = 0.0074, RMSE = 0.0096, error = 12.6532%. Statistical index of Backpropagation ANN, MAE = 0.2129, RMSE = 0, 2752, error = 13.3217%.

Downloads

Download data is not yet available.

References

Fauset, L. (1994). Fundamental of Neural Network, Prentice Hall, New York.

Han, J., Kamber,M., dan Pei, J. (2012), Data Mining Concepts and Techniques, Morgan Kaufmann Publishers, Waltham.

Huang, W., Foo, S. (2002). Neural network modeling of salinity variation in Apalachicola River. Water Research, 36, 356–362.

Irawan, M.I., Syaharuddin, Utomo, D.B., dan Mustikarukmi, A. (2013). Intelligent Irrigation Water Requirement System Based on Artificial Neural Networks and Profit Optimization for Planting Time Decision Making of Crops in Lombok Islands. Journal of Theoretical and Applied Information Technology, 58(3), 657-671.

Kurt, A., Oktay. A. B. (2010). Forecasting air pollutant indicator levels with geographic models 3 days in advance using neural networks. Expert Systems with Applications, 37, 7986-7992. doi:10.1016/j.eswa.2010.05.093.

Ye, S. (2012). RMB Exchange Rate Forecast Approach Based on BP Neural Network. Physics Procedia, 33, 287 – 293. doi:10.1016/j.phpro.2012.05.064.

Wang, Y., Niu, D., Ji, L. (2012). Short-term power load forecasting based on IVL-BP neural network technology. Systems Engineering Procedia, 4, 168 – 174. doi:10.1016/j.sepro.2011.11.062.

Published

01-01-2018

How to Cite

Ritonga, A. S., & Atmojo, S. (2018). Pengembangan Model Jaringan Syaraf Tiruan untuk Memprediksi Jumlah Mahasiswa Baru di PTS Surabaya (Studi Kasus Universitas Wijaya Putra). Jurnal Ilmiah Teknologi Informasi Asia, 12(1), 15–24. https://doi.org/10.32815/jitika.v12i1.213